For more than forty years, the United States has reached out to China, helping it develop a booming economy and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that there is little to fear and everything to gain from China's rise. But what if the Chinese have had a different plan all along?
Michael Pillsbury is the director of the Center on Chinese Strategy at the Hudson Institute and has served in presidential administrations from Richard Nixon to Barack Obama. Educated at Stanford and Columbia Universities, he is a former analyst at the RAND Corporation and research fellow at Harvard and has served in senior positions in the Defense Department and on the staff of four U.S. Senate committees. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and the International Institute for Strategic Studies. He lives in Washington, D.C.
#1 National Bestseller
"China's ambition to become the world's dominant power has been
there all along, virtually burned into the country's cultural DNA
and hiding, as [Pillsbury] says, in plain sight... The author is
correct to assert that China constitutes, by far, the biggest
national challenge to America's position in the world today."
--The Wall Street Journal "Provocative.... detailed and rigorous.
[Pillsbury is] right that for Washington, assessing the nature of
China's ambition, and responding to it effectively, may be the
central foreign policy challenge of our time."
--Newsweek "Pungently written and rich in detail, this book
deserves to enter the mainstream of
debate over the future of U.S. Chinese relations."
--Foreign Affairs "The Hundred-Year Marathon looks at the critical
issues of who is in fact making policy in the Chinese capital and,
as a result, it will be read, analyzed and debated for years. Think
of Pillsbury as our time's Paul Revere."
--The National Interest "This is a highly engaging and
thought-provoking read. It does what few books do well, and that is
to mix scholarship, policy, and memoir-style writing in an
accessible but still intellectually rich fashion. . . . Pillsbury .
. . draw[s] on his extensive knowledge of Chinese historical
military writings and theory as well as his interactions with
Chinese defectors and senior military officers to develop a
compelling analytical defense of this thesis. . . . In the end,
whether you agree with Pillsbury or not, the book is well worth a
careful read."
--Council on Foreign Relations "Despite dealing with a weighty
subject, Pillsbury says everything that he wants to say . . . [in]
this highly readable book. It deserves to be widely read and
debated."
--The Christian Science Monitor "Pillsbury's scholarship is
buttressed by an eye-popping amount of declassified material....
Pillsbury's key claim [is] that China... is methodically
undertaking a 'hundred-year marathon' strategy to displace the
United States as the global hegemon... The time is ripe to examine
the trajectory of American relations with the world's
second-largest economy [and] the marathon is hardly over."
--The Weekly Standard
"Following the Communist victory in the Chinese civil war,
Americans agonized over 'Who lost China?' If we do not recognize
the Chinese party-state for the predatory animal that it is, in 20
years the question we will be asking ourselves is 'Who lost the
world?' The answer will be, 'We did.'"
--The Washington Times "A presentation of China's hidden agenda
grounded in the author's longtime work at the U.S. Defense
Department.... Fodder for concerned thought."
--Kirkus Reviews "This is without question the most important book
written about Chinese strategy and foreign policy in years. Michael
Pillsbury has spent more than four decades for the Pentagon and the
CIA talking to and learning from a core of Chinese 'hard-liners'
who may be the driving force behind Chinese foreign policy today
under Xi Jinping. Based on meticulous scholarship and written in
lively, engaging prose, this book offers a sobering corrective to
what has long been the dominant, soothing narrative of
Sino-American cooperation."
--Robert Kagan, author of The World America Made and Of Paradise
and Power
"A provocative exploration of the historical sources of China's
grand strategy to become #1."
--Graham Allison, Director of Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer
Center for Science and International Affairs "Michael Pillsbury has
been meeting with, talking to, and studying the 'hawks' in China's
military and intelligence apparatus for more than four decades,
since back when America and China were cooperating against the
Soviet Union. In this fascinating, provocative new book, he lays
out the hawks' views about the United States and their long-term
strategies for overcoming American power by the middle of this
century. In the process, the book challenges the wrong-headed
assumptions in Washington about a gradually reforming China. Given
the direction China has been taking in the past few years,
Pillsbury's book takes on immediate relevance."
--James Mann, author of About Face: A History of America's Curious
Relationship with China "The Hundred-Year Marathon is based on work
that Michael Pillsbury did for the CIA that landed him the
Director's Exceptional Performance Award. It is a fascinating
chronicle of his odyssey from the ranks of the 'panda-huggers' to a
principled, highly informed, and lonely stance alerting us to
China's long-term strategy of achieving dominance. He shows that we
face a clever, entrenched, and ambitious potential enemy, suffused
with the shrewdness of Sun Tzu conducting a determined search for
the best way to sever our Achilles' heel. We have vital work to do,
urgently."
--R. James Woolsey, former Director of Central Intelligence and
chairman of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies
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