1. Why China Matters 2. Population, Geography, and History 3. China's Political Economy 4. Agriculture, Land, and the Rural Economy 5. Industry, Exports, and Technology 6. Urbanization and Infrastructure 7. The Enterprise System 8. The Government Finance System 9. Demographics and the Labor Market 10. The Social Compact: Inequality, Corruption, and the Environment 11. Changing the Growth Model: Can It Be Done? 12. China as Number One: What Does it Mean for the Rest of the World?
Arthur R. Kroeber is founding partner and managing director of Gavekal Dragonomics, a research firm focusing on China with offices in Hong Kong and Beijing. Before establishing Dragonomics in 2002, he spent 15 years as a financial and economic journalist in China and South Asia. He is senior non-resident fellow at the Brookings-Tsinghua Center in Beijing, adjunct professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs and at the NYU Stern School of Business, and a member of the National Committee on US-China Relations.
"If the notion of a middle way sounds intuitively appealing, Arthur Kroeber's book brings rigour to the debate to show why it is also the most likely outcome. A longtime China analyst now managing an independent research firm, he launches an assault, albeit courteously worded, on conventional wisdom from the two opposing camps. What emerges is a nuanced take on an economy facing serious challenges, ones that do not spell its collapse but could prove intractable all the same."--The Economist "Thankfully Arthur Kroeber has [condensed] many years of studying and writing about the Chinese economy into a single-volume portrait accessible to the generalist. Aside from the clear descriptive prose and judicious organisation this book achieves two things. On the one hand it lays out a detailed framework of how China works that will be recognisable to experts, and accessible to newcomers, breaking the whole into a series of digestible parts. On the other hand it offers a layer of measured assessment aimed at addressing the full range of pressing issues affecting China."--Forbes "Few have watched the development of the Chinese economy as closely as Arthur Kroeber. [China's Economy] is a wide-ranging and authoritative primer on the history and development of China's unique blend of decentralized economic authoritarianism."--Quartz