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Charting China's Future


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Table of Contents

Introduction: Whither China? David Shambaugh I. China's Political Future 1. China's Communist Party and the Evolving Political Order, Kjeld Erik Brodsgaard 2. China's Leadership Transition, Rod Wye II. China's Economic Future 3. China's Domestic Economy, Jonathan Fenby 4. China and the Global Economy, Peter Nolan III. China's Social Future 5. Civil Society and Media in China, Rachel Murphy 6. The Future of China's Legal Regime, Pitman B. Potter IV. China's International Future 7. China's Relations with the Major Powers, Jean-Pierre Cabestan 8. China and the Developing World, Peter Ferdinand 9. China's Roles in Global Security, David Shambaugh V. China's Future in Asia 10. China Faces East Asia: Seeking Continuity Amid Change, Michael Yahuda 11. China and Southeast Asia: An Economic Perspective, Anne Booth VI. China's Future Ties with Taiwan 12. Relations Across the Taiwan Strait: The Current Detente and its Limits, Ramon Myers 13. Prospects for Taiwan and Its Impact on Cross-Strait Relations, Dafydd Fell VII. China's Future with Hong Kong and Macao 14. The Medium Term Future of "One Country, Two Systems" in the Hong Kong SAR, Brian Hook 15. Macau: Prosperity within Constraints, Richard Louis Edmonds Conclusion: China's Immediate Future: Stable or Unstable? David Shambaugh

About the Author

David Shambaugh is Professor of Political Science & International Affairs and Director of the China Policy Program at George Washington University, and Nonresident Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program & Center for Northeast Asian Studies at the Brookings Institution.


"David Shambaugh and his contributors offer an invaluable guide to today's China and its immediate prospects - comprehensive, clearly written, based on deep experience and sober analysis rather than trendy theorising. Anyone with an academic or professional involvement with China will benefit from reading it." Sir Christopher Hum, British Ambassador to China 2002-2005 and Master of Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge "David Shambaugh, as one of the West's leading political scientists studying China, and former editor of the China Quarterly, has been uniquely positioned to call upon leading China specialists around the globe to bring toghether some of the best Western scholarship on China. The authors avoid the temptation to resort to the usual facile generations and present a nuanced well-informed collection of chapters on China's politics, its economics, and society as well as relations with other countries." Ezra Vogel, Henry Ford II Professor of the Social Sciences Emeritus at Harvard University, USA.

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