Art of the Long View
Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World
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|Format: ||Paperback, 292 pages|
|Published In: ||United Kingdom, 01 May 1997|
What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life - bottom-line numbers, for instance - but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories - scenarios - and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles. In "The Art of the Long View" the author outlines the "scenaric" approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business. Schwartz describes the techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world's leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG & E, and the International Stock Exchange.
Table of Contents
Introduction to the Paperback Edition: The Strategic Conversation - Broadening The Long View The Pathfinders Tale The Smith & Hawken Story: The Process of Scenario-Building Uncovering the Decision Information-Hunting and Gathering Creating Scenario Building Blocks Anatomy of a New Driving Force: The Global Teenager Composing a Plot The World in 2005: Three Scenarios Rehearsing The Future Epilogue: To My Newborn Son Afterword: The Value of a Strategic Conversation Appendix: Steps to Developing Scenarios
About the Author
PETER SCHWARTZ is one of the world's leading futurists. He is president of Global Business Network, an international think tank and consulting firm in Emeryville, California, that includes many of the world's leading-edge thinkers about the future, as well as innovative scientists, artists, and business executives. His previous publications include Seven Tomorrows, a book of global scenarios jointly authored with Paul Hawken and Jay Ogilvy.
John Wiley & Sons Ltd|
22.7 x 15.9 x 1.8 centimetres (0.45 kg)|
15+ years |